Our model gives Deportes Rancagua a 39% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Lautaro de Buin.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deportes Rancagua have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Lautaro de Buin have done so in 0 of their last 2.