Our model gives Deportes Quindío a 50% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Llaneros.

Both teams are projected to score in 41% of simulations, against 59% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 39% likelihood against 61% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deportes Quindío have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Llaneros have done so in 1 of their last 2.