Our model gives Delémont a 55% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Thun II.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Delémont have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Thun II have done so in 1 of their last 2.