Our model gives Deal Town a 47% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Sutton Athletic.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deal Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Sutton Athletic have done so in 1 of their last 1.