Our model gives Deal Town a 38% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 44% for Hartley Wintney.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deal Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Hartley Wintney have done so in 1 of their last 1.