Our model gives Dalian Kuncheng City a 47% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Shanghai Jiading Huilong.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 41% likelihood against 59% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Dalian Kuncheng City have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Shanghai Jiading Huilong have done so in 2 of their last 2.