Our model gives Czarni Połaniec a 44% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Podlasie Biała Podlaska.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Podlasie Biała Podlaska have done so in 0 of their last 3.