Our model gives Curicó Unido a 43% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cobreloa.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Curicó Unido have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Cobreloa have done so in 1 of their last 3.