Our model gives CSM Slatina a 39% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Metalul Buzău.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, CSM Slatina have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Metalul Buzău have done so in 2 of their last 4.