Our model gives CSKA Moskva a 55% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Akron.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, CSKA Moskva have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4, and Akron have done so in 4 of their last 5.