Our model gives Crvena Zvezda a 77% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Radnički Niš.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Crvena Zvezda have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5, and Radnički Niš have done so in 0 of their last 2.