Our model gives Cruzeiro W a 69% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Botafogo W.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Cruzeiro W have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Botafogo W have done so in 3 of their last 3.