Our model gives Criciuma U20 a 79% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Brusque U20.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Criciuma U20 have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Brusque U20 have done so in 1 of their last 3.