Our model gives Cornard United FC a 36% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 41% for Downham Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Cornard United FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Downham Town have done so in 0 of their last 1.