Our model gives Coquimbo Unido a 61% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Huachipato.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 53% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Coquimbo Unido have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Huachipato have done so in 2 of their last 3.