Our model gives Cooma Tigers a 50% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 32% for Gungahlin Juventus.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 74% likelihood against 26% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Cooma Tigers have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Gungahlin Juventus have done so in 3 of their last 3.