Our model gives Concord Rangers a 32% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 47% for Brentwood Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Concord Rangers have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Brentwood Town have done so in 1 of their last 3.