Our model gives Columbus Crew II a 50% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Carolina Core.

Both teams are projected to score in 70% of simulations, against 30% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Columbus Crew II have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Carolina Core have done so in 2 of their last 3.