Our model gives Colorado Springs a 69% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Birmingham Legion.

Both teams are projected to score in 49% of simulations, against 51% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Colorado Springs have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Birmingham Legion have done so in 1 of their last 2.