Our model gives Colorado Rapids a 59% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Austin.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Colorado Rapids have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Austin have done so in 1 of their last 2.