Our model gives Colegiales a 41% chance to win this one, against 33% for a draw and 26% for Gimnasia Jujuy.

Both teams are projected to score in 39% of simulations, against 61% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 27% likelihood against 73% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Colegiales have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Gimnasia Jujuy have done so in 2 of their last 4.