Our model gives Cobán Imperial a 59% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Guastatoya.

Both teams are projected to score in 43% of simulations, against 57% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 57% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Cobán Imperial have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Guastatoya have done so in 1 of their last 3.