Our model gives Coatepeque a 78% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Gomerano.

Both teams are projected to score in 40% of simulations, against 60% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Coatepeque have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Gomerano have done so in 2 of their last 2.