Our model gives Coastal Spirit a 83% chance to win this one, against 9% for a draw and 8% for Northern AFC.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 81% likelihood against 19% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Coastal Spirit have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Northern AFC have done so in 2 of their last 2.