Our model gives Club Brugge a 61% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Cercle Brugge.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Club Brugge have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Cercle Brugge have done so in 2 of their last 2.