Our model gives Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors a 51% chance to win this one, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Güemes.

Both teams are projected to score in 37% of simulations, against 63% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 31% likelihood against 69% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Güemes have done so in 3 of their last 3.