Our model gives Cirencester Town a 6% chance to win this one, against 10% for a draw and 85% for Farnham Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 75% likelihood against 25% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Cirencester Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Farnham Town have done so in 1 of their last 2.