Our model gives Chernomorets 1919 Burgas a 47% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Beroe.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 45% likelihood against 55% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Beroe have done so in 0 of their last 3.