Our model gives Chengdu Rongcheng a 70% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Wuhan Three Towns.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Chengdu Rongcheng have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Wuhan Three Towns have done so in 0 of their last 1.