Our model gives Chemnitzer FC a 30% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 48% for BFC Preussen.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Chemnitzer FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and BFC Preussen have done so in 3 of their last 5.