Our model gives Chełmianka Chełm a 64% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Wisłoka Dębica.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Wisłoka Dębica have done so in 2 of their last 3.