Our model gives Chatham Town a 61% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Wingate & Finchley.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Chatham Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Wingate & Finchley have done so in 1 of their last 3.