Our model gives Changnyeong W a 13% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 69% for Incheon Red Angels W.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Changnyeong W have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Incheon Red Angels W have done so in 0 of their last 4.