Our model gives Champions Academy a 25% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 55% for Chorrillo.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Champions Academy have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Chorrillo have done so in 2 of their last 3.