Our model gives ÅCF a 24% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 57% for EuPa.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 68% likelihood against 32% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, ÅCF have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and EuPa have done so in 0 of their last 2.