Our model gives Cetatea Suceava a 30% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 44% for Popești-Leordeni.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Cetatea Suceava have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Popești-Leordeni have done so in 2 of their last 4.