Our model gives Cerezo Osaka a 41% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Gifu.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Gifu have done so in 2 of their last 2.