Our model gives Central Ballester a 39% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Leandro Nicéforo Alem.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 34% likelihood against 66% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Central Ballester have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Leandro Nicéforo Alem have done so in 0 of their last 2.