Our model gives Celtic a 62% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Dundee.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Celtic have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Dundee have done so in 2 of their last 4.