Our model gives Caxias a 54% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Inter de Limeira.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Caxias have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Inter de Limeira have done so in 1 of their last 2.