Our model gives Carl Zeiss Jena a 63% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Rot-Weiß Erfurt.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Carl Zeiss Jena have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5, and Rot-Weiß Erfurt have done so in 3 of their last 4.