Our model gives Carabobo a 52% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Trujillanos.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 40% likelihood against 60% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Carabobo have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Trujillanos have done so in 1 of their last 3.