Our model gives Cannes a 51% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Le Puy-en-Velay.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Cannes have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Le Puy-en-Velay have done so in 0 of their last 2.