Our model gives Canberra White Eagles a 4% chance to win this one, against 6% for a draw and 90% for Monaro Panthers.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 87% likelihood against 13% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Canberra White Eagles have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Monaro Panthers have done so in 3 of their last 4.