Our model gives Busko-Zdrój a 22% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 57% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Busko-Zdrój have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Siarka Tarnobrzeg have done so in 1 of their last 3.