Our model gives Busan Transportation a 50% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Jinju Citizen.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Busan Transportation have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1.