Our model gives Busan I'Park a 27% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 49% for Seoul.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Busan I'Park have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Seoul have done so in 1 of their last 1.