Our model gives Burnham a 59% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Slimbridge.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Burnham have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Slimbridge have done so in 1 of their last 1.