Our model gives Burgess Hill Town a 64% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Dulwich Hamlet.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Dulwich Hamlet have done so in 2 of their last 3.