Our model gives Buochs a 9% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 78% for Luzern.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 68% likelihood against 32% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Buochs have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Luzern have done so in 3 of their last 3.